Property Crisis ?
HONG KONG &mdash Cosmetics retailer Colourmix will move to Hong Kong&rsquo s Russell Street, once the world&rsquo s most expensive shopping strip, and pay about 40 per cent less than the former tenant as China&rsquo s economic slowdown rattles the city.
&ldquo Landlords have to face the reality, no matter how reluctant they are,&rdquo Mr Lawrence Wong, a director at property agent Sheraton Valuers, said in a telephone interview yesterday (Sept 26). &ldquo It&rsquo s still better than leaving their property empty.&rdquo
Russell Street has lost its claim as the most expensive shopping street on the planet to New York&rsquo s Fifth Avenue, according to broker Cushman & Wakefield in November last year. A July research report by Jones Lang LaSalle predicted prices for space in prime locations will drop 15 per cent to 20 per cent in Hong Kong this year.
Retail rents were down 12 per cent in Causeway Bay and 3 per cent in Central at the end of June, Oriental Daily reported earlier this month, citing data from CBRE Group. The broker said in a report that the decline came after rents for shops at prime locations in Hong Kong&rsquo s four shopping districts, including Tsim Sha Tsui and Mong Kok, increased by 213 per cent from 2003 to last year.
Hong Kong&rsquo s retail property market has slumped with China facing its slowest growth in a quarter-century. The world&rsquo s second-largest economy will announce a growth objective of 6.5 per cent to 7 per cent for next year, according to eight of 15 economists in a Bloomberg News survey conducted Sept 17-22. All of those surveyed said they expect next year&rsquo s target will fall short of the about 7 per cent set by Premier Li Keqiang for 2015 growth.
The Hong Kong government is closely monitoring developments in the city&rsquo s property market and will make policy changes if necessary, Financial Secretary John Tsangtold reporters today.
Hong Kong&rsquo s property prices are being affected by an increase in supply and volatile external factors such as a high probability that the US may raise interest rates, Mr Tsang said.
Colourmix, run by Veeko International Holdings, will rent a 1,000 square-foot space in Causeway Bay for almost HK$1 million (S$184,000) per month, 43 per cent lower than what luxury Swiss watch brand Jaeger-LeCoultre is currently paying, said Mr Wong, whose company handled the transaction.
In Central, Hong Kong&rsquo s business district, Adidas Hong Kong will pay 23 per cent less for the space being vacated by Coach Hong Kong, according to Land Registry data. The sports brand&rsquo s rent is HK$4.34 million a month, down from HK$5.6 million paid by Coach, the designer handbag maker.
Hong Kong&rsquo s residential market is also experiencing weaker sentiment. &ldquo Housing market outlook will likely become more cautious amid increased volatility in the global and Hong Kong&rsquo s financial markets,&rdquo the Hong Kong Monetary Authority said in a report released Friday. &ldquo The risk of downward adjustment has picked up steadily.&rdquo BLOOMBERG

TMC Education Corp announced that its reserve price for the 22 September auction of two strata-titled lots in Peninsula Plaza was not met.
In an SGX filing, the private education company said that it will conduct another auction on 22 October.
Notably, TMC is eyeing to sell the lots, which comprise 10 units with a total area of 2,971 sq ft and around 813 years left on their 999-year leases.
In an earlier announcement, TMC revealed that the proposed auction sale represents an opportunity for the company to unlock the value of the strata units &ldquo that are being held as investment properties which do not contribute towards its core business.&rdquo
It noted that the disposal of the lots will not affect the nature of the company&rsquo s main business.
Image: Peninsula Plaza (Source: Wikimedia Commons, Author: Terrence Ong)
Nothing is guaranteed in life only ......
If you buy at the right time and price you still can make some profit.
Buy property is best investment vehicle in land scarce sg. U see queenstown tpy flat selling for $950k even right under our noses now. Demand is strong. No worries at all. Put yur monies into properties sure huat. Put yur monies in stocks be prepared for the worst and hope for the best. Property no need to hope confirm gauranteed chop will be our retirement safety net. Property prepare to huat gao gao as opposed to equities. Make the right choice. Empower your future the right way.
Yalor no problem de lar, our garmen is supermen. Property crisis if happen also kept to minimum. 10yrs later still cheong. Want to buy property anytime is best time. Keep 10yrs sure huat gauranteed by garmen. ?
Garmen wont move a tick until there is justification to do so eg STI goes below 2500, Recession.
Otherwise they would look like manipulating a free market --of course they are but shh
Given the likelihood of downward trajectory of GDP here, some fiscal policy response might be on the cards. Construction, as seems traditional, cld be in for some stimulus. That might also mean a possibility of fine-tuning the PCM (property cooling measures) sooner rather than later, bearing in mind too that the property mkt here cld be experience negative deflationary impact already n that, with a likely rising interest-rate trend, some of the PCM might warrant a timely review.
Posted: September 25, 2015 7:45 pmPosted by: @moneyplantForeign buying in Singapore' s home market nosedives to just 7.6
- https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/photos/foreign-buying-singapores-home-market-photo-023000289.htm l">
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A triple whammy of factors have been swatting them away.
BNP Paribas, in its latest report, says that foreign buying has deteriorated in 2015, compared to 2014 and 2013 based on their trend analysis.
The report attributes this to three factors: currency weakness in MYR, IDR, and RMB punitive ABSD of 15% to foreign buyers even for first homes in Singapore (imposed in 2013), and tight immigration policty to restrict foreign employees to Singapore, which may have partly shrunken foreign buyer pool.
Here' s more from the report:
As a result, homes transacated by foreigners fell sharply. In 1Q15, foreign buying accounted for 7.6% of total home transactions, down from 11.3% in 1Q14.
By sub-segment breakdown, homes transacted by foreigners in 1Q15 accounted for 13.3% of high-end segment, down from 17.4% a year ago (in 1Q14). Similar trend happened in mid-end (6.0%, down from 8.5%) and mass market (6.7%, down from 11.5%) segments.
By nationality, foreign buyers from Malaysia, Indonesia, and China were especially hit hard dure to currency weakness.
Nonetheless, in 1Q15, China was the top foreign buyer in Singapore, followed by Malaysia and Indonesia.
Given the slack in foreign buying, it becomes clear that the housing market needs to turn to local buyers for support. Unfortunately, BNP Paribas is not confident of the strength of the local support, given easing of pent-up demand, ongoing credit tightening, and prospects of rising intereste rates. All these factors tend to dampen local buyer demand.
Foreign buying in Singapore' s home market nosedives to just 7.6
- https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/photos/foreign-buying-singapores-home-market-photo-023000289.htm l">
http://globalfinance.zenfs.com/images/FIN_SG_AHTTP_SBH_POLLER/foreigners_original.jp g" style="background-repeat:no-repeat no-repeat border:0px display:block height:130px width:190px" title=" " />View Photo
A triple whammy of factors have been swatting them away.
BNP Paribas, in its latest report, says that foreign buying has deteriorated in 2015, compared to 2014 and 2013 based on their trend analysis.
The report attributes this to three factors: currency weakness in MYR, IDR, and RMB punitive ABSD of 15% to foreign buyers even for first homes in Singapore (imposed in 2013), and tight immigration policty to restrict foreign employees to Singapore, which may have partly shrunken foreign buyer pool.
Here' s more from the report:
As a result, homes transacated by foreigners fell sharply. In 1Q15, foreign buying accounted for 7.6% of total home transactions, down from 11.3% in 1Q14.
By sub-segment breakdown, homes transacted by foreigners in 1Q15 accounted for 13.3% of high-end segment, down from 17.4% a year ago (in 1Q14). Similar trend happened in mid-end (6.0%, down from 8.5%) and mass market (6.7%, down from 11.5%) segments.
By nationality, foreign buyers from Malaysia, Indonesia, and China were especially hit hard dure to currency weakness.
Nonetheless, in 1Q15, China was the top foreign buyer in Singapore, followed by Malaysia and Indonesia.
Given the slack in foreign buying, it becomes clear that the housing market needs to turn to local buyers for support. Unfortunately, BNP Paribas is not confident of the strength of the local support, given easing of pent-up demand, ongoing credit tightening, and prospects of rising intereste rates. All these factors tend to dampen local buyer demand.
Should The Government Be Removing Singapore Property Cooling Measures?
http://l.yimg.com/os/publish-images/finance/2014-03-05/4a8d4200-a42a-11e3-b77d-f14f77cd6915_yahoo-moneysmart.jpe g" style="background-repeat:no-repeat no-repeat border:0px display:inline !important margin-bottom:15px" title="" />By Peter Lin | MoneySmart &ndash 19 hours ago
RELATED CONTENT
- https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/photos/government-removing-singapore-property-cooling-photo-160000351.htm l">
http://globalfinance.zenfs.com/en_SG/Finance/SG_AFTP_MoneySmart_NEW/condo-costa-rhu-header-1024x465.pn g" style="background-repeat:no-repeat no-repeat border:0px display:block height:143px width:190px" title="Should The Government Be Removing Singapore Property Cooling Measures?" />View Photo
Should The Government Be Removing Singapore Property Cooling Measures?
Say you&rsquo re hosting a party and you&rsquo re all out of ice and it&rsquo s not convenient to head down to a 7-Eleven or a supermarket to buy more. Instead, you put as many containers of water in your freezer as you can and lower the temperature to as far as it can go. Impatient, you keep checking every few minutes to see if the water&rsquo s frozen yet. DON&rsquo T DO THAT.
Every time you open the freezer to check, you end up stalling the process, and the water will end up taking longer to freeze. You have to be patient. It&rsquo s the same thing with Singapore and the property cooling measures introduced over the past two years.
But&hellip the property market has cooled!
No one&rsquo s debating that. Singapore&rsquo s private home prices have dropped for a seventh consecutive quarter. That means prices have been dropping steadily for almost 2 years &ndash the longest streak since 2002. But they&rsquo ve not fallen enough.
Remember, before the cooling measures were introduced, property prices had ballooned 60% over just 3 years. Analysts are saying it prices need to drop further &ndash by about 15%. Currently, prices have only dropped 6.7% since 2013, so there&rsquo s still a long way to go.
So, if we can&rsquo t remove them, can we at least tweak them?
Well, first we&rsquo ll have to see why the cooling measures were implemented in the first place. Only by understanding what they were intended to do can we be objective in suggesting changes. The three measures we&rsquo ll be looking at are: Seller&rsquo s Stamp Duty, Additional Buyer&rsquo s Stamp Duty, the Mortgage Servicing Ratio and the Total Debt Servicing Ratio. Let&rsquo s go through them one by one.
1. Seller&rsquo s Stamp Duty
The Seller&rsquo s Stamp Duty, or SSD, was tweaked in January 2011, increasing the penalty of selling a residential property anytime between the first and fourth years of purchase. Right now, the SSD works as follows:
| Holding Period | SSD Rate (on the actual price or market value, whichever is higher) |
| 1st Year | 16% |
| 2nd Year | 12% |
| 3rd Year | 8% |
| 4th Year | 4% |
Why was it implemented? To discourage speculation and flipping of residential properties.
Has it worked? Definitely. The best indicator that speculators are fleeing the Singapore residential property market is the consistent drop in the number of sub-sales. Sub-sales are essentially purchases that happen before a private property is constructed and ready to be occupied. Currently, sub-sales make up about 3.9% of all sales transactions, compared to 9.1% in 2010 and 11.6% in 2009.
How should it be tweaked? Ultimately, it depends on whether waiting for 5 years before selling a property would be considered too long a wait. One suggestion would be to reduce the SSD period to only apply to the first three years, but increase the stamp duty rate for the first and second years. This way, it&rsquo s clear that only speculators are being penalised, not residents who have the ability to upgrade in a shorter time.
2. Additional Buyer&rsquo s Stamp Duty
The Additional Buyer&rsquo s Stamp Duty or ABSD was introduced in December 2011. It penalises the purchase of additional properties by Singaporeans, as well properties purchased by Permanent Residents and foreigners. This is how it currently works:
| Profile of Buyer | ABSD Rates from 8 Dec 2011 to 11 Jan 2013 | ABSD Rates from 12 Jan 2013 |
| Singapore Citizens buying first residential property | Not applicable | Not applicable |
| Singapore Citizens buying second residential property | Not applicable | 7% |
| Singapore Citizens buying third and subsequent residential property | 3% | 10% |
| Singapore Permanent Residents buying first residential property | Not applicable | 5% |
| Singapore Permanent Residents buying second and subsequent residential property | 3% | 10% |
| Foreigners and entities buying any residential property | 10% | 15% |
Why was it implemented? To discourage foreign investors from buying residential properties in Singapore and inflating prices, as well as to discourage Singaporeans from buying multiple properties.
Has it worked? Yes. The ABSD continues to significantly reduce the volume of property transactions. Only 495 private homes were sold in August, compared to 1,611 in July.
How should it be tweaked? Because the ABSD is mainly supposed to discourage foreign investment, some are calling for the ABSD rates to be relaxed for Singaporeans. However, there&rsquo s a danger that any change in the ABSD, even removing the penalties for Singaporeans, would still end up affecting Singaporeans in general.
3. Mortgage Servicing Ratio
The Mortgage Servicing Ratio or MSR was implemented to prevent buyers of HDB flats and Executive Condominiums from purchasing units that were beyond their financial means. It does this by limiting your monthly mortgage repayment to 30% of your monthly income, regardless of whether the loan is from HDB or from the bank.
Why was it implemented? To ensure that home buyers and sellers aren&rsquo t able to inflate prices of HDB flats and ECs on the resale market. By reducing the loan amount that a potential buyer can access, sellers weren&rsquo t able to include high Cash-over-Valuation amounts on their property, because then they&rsquo d run out of potential buyers.
Has it worked? Yes, but perhaps a bit too well. Together with the Total Debt Servicing Ratio, which we&rsquo ll talk about next, it&rsquo s essentially restricted home buyers from being able to choose a home from a larger pool of options.
How should it be tweaked? With the greater number of flats being launched across the island, increasing the MSR from 30% back to 35% &ndash what it was in 2013, would go a long way in giving more Singaporeans the ability to choose their HDB home. As it is, more Singaporeans are cancelling their flat applications because of the MSR.
4. Total Debt Servicing Ratio
Arguably the most effective cooling measure over the past two years since its implementation, the Total Debt Servicing Ratio or TDSR framework prevents Singaporeans from overextending ourselves financially. We are only allowed to borrow up to 60% of our monthly income, and not just for our home loans, but for all our outstanding loans and debts, including car loans, credit card debt and renovation loans.
Why was it implemented? To avoid the kind of property crisis that has happened in other countries, the TDSR prevents Singaporeans from borrowing what they cannot realistically repay. This prevents Singaporeans from getting to too much debt and risk losing their homes.
Has it worked? Extremely well. The introduction of the TDSR saw property prices dropping as more and more buyers had their options restricted.
How should it be tweaked? The TDSR should definitely be here to stay. Encouraging financial prudence in Singaporeans will go a long way in avoiding the repercussions of debt and bankruptcy. The argument here could be defining what makes up a person&rsquo s monthly income. Currently, only 70% of bonuses, commissions, rental and other variable income can be included in monthly income calculations.
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